The brief’s key findings are:
- One option for helping address Social Security’s long-term financial health is to shift a portion of its trust fund reserves into equities.
- Of course, equities would expose the program to greater financial risk.
- However, in terms of financial risk, both retrospective and prospective analyses suggest that equities would improve Social Security’s finances.
- In terms of critics’ concerns:
- little evidence exists that trust fund equity investing would disrupt the stock market;
- the experience with the Thrift Savings Plan for federal employees provides a road map for separating the government from investment decisions; and
- accounting for returns on a risk-adjusted basis would avoid the appearance that substituting stocks for bonds provides magic money.