As global interest rates hover near historic lows, defined benefit pension plan sponsors must grapple with the prospect of lower investment returns. This paper examines three levers that can enhance portfolio outcomes in a low-return world. The levers include: increased contributions; reduced investment costs; and increased portfolio risk. We use portfolio simulations based on a stochastic asset class forecasting model to evaluate each lever according to two criteria—its magnitude of impact and the certainty that this impact will be realized. Our analysis indicates that increased contributions have the greatest and most certain impact. Reduced costs have a more modest, but equally certain impact. Increased risk can deliver a significant impact, but with the least certainty.
